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// AI PRICING OBSERVATORY

Layer 03 of 3 · Pricing

The pricing layer.

What the units cost, on what rate card, under what rules. The terminal decision of the architecture.

Pricing is the computational rulebook, not the metric. Usage-based, credit-based, and outcome-based name families of value metrics, and the metric lives in the licensing decision. The pricing model is the machinery that turns a chosen metric and a packaged bundle into a rational net price on every invoice. This page collects the moves where that machinery itself moved.

01 · The decision

The terminal decision, and the visible one.

The pricing model is the rulebook that computes a rational net price for every combination of what you sell, at every volume you sell it at, consistent across every deal: the price points, the approved adjustments, the limits that hold it all together. It is the last of the three decisions in pricing architecture — the three structural decisions (licensing model, packaging model, pricing model) that determine how a software company captures value.

Terminal, because pricing attaches to a bundle that has already been packaged from rights that have already been licensed. That is what the canonical order means in practice: by the time a number moves, two deeper decisions are either holding it up or quietly failing underneath it.

The test for any pricing announcement, a competitor’s or your own: did the rulebook change, or did the unit underneath it change? Much of what the market files as pricing news is the second thing wearing the first thing’s name, and the two age on entirely different clocks. The Pricing Architecture Assessment runs that question across your own three layers in a few minutes.

02 · “We’re changing our rate card”

How do software companies change their rate cards?

A rate card change is the narrowest move a vendor can make and the most legible: a published rate moved against its own prior value, with the metric and the editions holding still. Nothing was re-licensed and nothing was re-bundled; how revenue is captured is the only thing that moved. That is what earns it the pricing layer.

It is also the move most often confused with its neighbors. A launch rate with no prior value is a new offer, not a change. A rate that moves because the unit changed is a licensing story in pricing’s clothes. The ledger separates these deliberately, so the table below holds true changes: rates with a before and an after, each verified against the vendor’s own statement.

Take one question into the record: what does each vendor’s architecture let it change? A rate card that can move cleanly, without re-papering the grant or re-cutting the editions, is evidence of architecture underneath it. One that cannot is why so many of these announcements arrive tangled with the other two layers.

Source: SPP Pricing Observatory · 324 tracked moves across 38 vendors · last verified Nov 10, 2026.
DateVendorThe move
GoogleCollapsing the long-context price split is not a cut; it is a redistribution. SourcePricing · Rate change
xAIHours after the flagship model shipped, the subscription plan that included it nearly doubled in price. SourcePricing · Rate increase
DeepSeekTime-of-day metering enters this arc as a discount. SourceLicensing + Pricing · Rate cut
OpenAIOpenAI cut the price of o3 by a large step on June 10, 2025 and launched a pro variant the same day at a multiple of the new rate. SourcePricing · Rate cut
GoogleOne repricing, two directions: output tokens cut while input tokens doubled, and the thinking premium folded into a single price. SourcePricing · Rate change · 2nd in 4 months
GoogleGoogle added a Batch Mode to the Gemini API at a discount to the synchronous rate for asynchronous work returned within a day. SourcePricing · Rate cut · first
SalesforceThe rise landed on the premium editions with AI named as the justification, while the same announcement added a per-user Agentforce add-on with unmetered employee agent usage, sold beside the per-action credit meter in the same catalog. SourcePackaging + Pricing · Rate increase · first
SalesforceFor the installed base the renewal-transition date is the real effective date. SourcePackaging + Pricing · Repackage · 2nd in 2 months
DeepSeekThe V3.2-Exp release cut API prices by more than half, effective immediately. SourcePricing · Rate cut · 2nd in 7 months
AtlassianA week after switching on its first billed AI meter, Atlassian raised the price of the seat. SourcePricing · Rate increase · first
MicrosoftThe commercial echo of the consumer move eleven months earlier: capabilities in, price up, with the increase dated seven months out. SourcePricing · Rate increase · 2nd in 10 months
ReplitThe team seat dissolved into a pooled meter: Teams was sunset, and the plan that replaced it prices a pool of tiered credits for up to fifteen builders with no per-seat fee, rollover included. SourceLicensing + Packaging + Pricing · Unit swap · 2nd in 8 months
HubSpotPay when the task completes, not when it is attempted. SourcePricing · Unit swap · 2nd in 7 months
CognitionOne year after minting it, Cognition took the ACU off the retail shelf. SourceLicensing + Packaging + Pricing · Unit swap · 2nd consecutive
GitHubThe annual cohort was not migrated. SourcePricing · Terms change · first
GoogleAt I/O 2026 Google cut the top AI Ultra tier's monthly price and inserted a new AI Ultra tier beneath it, with YouTube Premium Lite bundled into AI Pro in some countries. SourcePackaging + Pricing · Rate cut · 2nd in 10 months
GoogleGoogle cut the price of AI Plus, its lowest paid consumer rung, within months of bringing the plan to the United States. SourcePricing · Rate cut · 3rd in 11 months
AnthropicAn introductory rate with a published end date is a promise about a future price, and this one landed in the same season the vendor was extending a different dated promise rather than keeping it. SourcePricing · Rate cut · 2nd in 3 months
GoogleAfter a year in which each Gemini generation entered the API above the last, Gemini 3.6 Flash launched with its input rate unchanged from 3.5 Flash and its output rate cut, and Google's own framing said tasks complete on fewer tokens. SourcePricing · Rate cut · 4th in 12 months
MicrosoftThe upstream cut arrived downstream in 48 hours: parity is now a pricing term. SourcePricing · Rate cut · first
DeepSeekThe raise landed August 16, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, exactly as the August 13 release note scheduled it. SourcePricing · Rate increase · first
GoogleGoogle shipped a price with a return date. SourcePricing · Rate cut · 5th in 13 months
DeepSeekTwo footnotes changed in one update, moving in opposite directions. SourcePricing · Unit swap · first
AnthropicClaude Fable 5.1 shipped with headline token rates unchanged from Fable 5 and a deep cut on cache reads, the token class that repeats across a workload. SourcePricing · Rate cut · 3rd in 5 months
See every tracked move on the Observatory →

26 moves on the ledger; the 24 most recent shown.

[ Portable record ]Take this record with you. Open this panel, click once inside it to select the plain-text version, and paste it into your notes or deck. The source line goes with it.
Google · Feb 05, 2025 · Pricing · Rate change · Collapsing the long-context price split is not a cut; it is a redistribution. · https://blog.google/technology/google-deepmind/gemini-model-updates-february-2025/
xAI · Feb 18, 2025 · Pricing · Rate increase · Hours after the flagship model shipped, the subscription plan that included it nearly doubled in price. · https://techcrunch.com/2025/02/19/x-doubles-its-premium-plan-prices-after-xai-releases-grok-3
DeepSeek · Feb 26, 2025 · Licensing + Pricing · Rate cut · Time-of-day metering enters this arc as a discount. · https://api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing/
OpenAI · Jun 10, 2025 · Pricing · Rate cut · OpenAI cut the price of o3 by a large step on June 10, 2025 and launched a pro variant the same day at a multiple of the new rate. · https://community.openai.com/t/o3-is-80-cheaper-and-introducing-o3-pro/1284925
Google · Jun 17, 2025 · Pricing · Rate change · One repricing, two directions: output tokens cut while input tokens doubled, and the thinking premium folded into a single price. · https://developers.googleblog.com/en/gemini-2-5-thinking-model-updates/
Google · Jul 07, 2025 · Pricing · Rate cut · Google added a Batch Mode to the Gemini API at a discount to the synchronous rate for asynchronous work returned within a day. · https://developers.googleblog.com/scale-your-ai-workloads-batch-mode-gemini-api/
Salesforce · Aug 01, 2025 · Packaging + Pricing · Rate increase · The rise landed on the premium editions with AI named as the justification, while the same announcement added a per-user Agentforce add-on with unmetered employee agent usage, sold beside the per-action credit meter in the same catalog. · https://www.salesforce.com/news/stories/pricing-update-2025/
Salesforce · Aug 17, 2025 · Packaging + Pricing · Repackage · For the installed base the renewal-transition date is the real effective date. · https://slack.com/blog/news/june-2025-pricing-and-packaging-announcement
DeepSeek · Sep 29, 2025 · Pricing · Rate cut · The V3.2-Exp release cut API prices by more than half, effective immediately. · https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news250929
Atlassian · Oct 15, 2025 · Pricing · Rate increase · A week after switching on its first billed AI meter, Atlassian raised the price of the seat. · https://www.atlassian.com/licensing/future-pricing/cloud/list/pricing-tables
Microsoft · Dec 04, 2025 · Pricing · Rate increase · The commercial echo of the consumer move eleven months earlier: capabilities in, price up, with the increase dated seven months out. · https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/blog/2025/12/04/advancing-microsoft-365-new-capabilities-and-pricing-update/
Replit · Feb 25, 2026 · Licensing + Packaging + Pricing · Unit swap · The team seat dissolved into a pooled meter: Teams was sunset, and the plan that replaced it prices a pool of tiered credits for up to fifteen builders with no per-seat fee, rollover included. · https://replit.com/blog/pro-plan
HubSpot · Apr 02, 2026 · Pricing · Unit swap · Pay when the task completes, not when it is attempted. · https://www.hubspot.com/company-news/hubspots-customer-agent-and-prospecting-agent-now-you-pay-when-the-task-is-complete
Cognition · Apr 14, 2026 · Licensing + Packaging + Pricing · Unit swap · One year after minting it, Cognition took the ACU off the retail shelf. · https://cognition.com/blog/new-self-serve-plans-for-devin
GitHub · Apr 27, 2026 · Pricing · Terms change · The annual cohort was not migrated. · https://github.blog/news-insights/company-news/github-copilot-is-moving-to-usage-based-billing/
Google · May 19, 2026 · Packaging + Pricing · Rate cut · At I/O 2026 Google cut the top AI Ultra tier's monthly price and inserted a new AI Ultra tier beneath it, with YouTube Premium Lite bundled into AI Pro in some countries. · https://blog.google/products-and-platforms/products/google-one/google-ai-subscriptions/
Google · Jun 08, 2026 · Pricing · Rate cut · Google cut the price of AI Plus, its lowest paid consumer rung, within months of bringing the plan to the United States. · https://9to5google.com/2026/06/08/google-ai-plus-price-drop/
Anthropic · Jun 30, 2026 · Pricing · Rate cut · An introductory rate with a published end date is a promise about a future price, and this one landed in the same season the vendor was extending a different dated promise rather than keeping it. · https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-5
Google · Jul 21, 2026 · Pricing · Rate cut · After a year in which each Gemini generation entered the API above the last, Gemini 3.6 Flash launched with its input rate unchanged from 3.5 Flash and its output rate cut, and Google's own framing said tasks complete on fewer tokens. · https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-3-6-flash-3-5-flash-lite-3-5-flash-cyber/
Microsoft · Aug 01, 2026 · Pricing · Rate cut · The upstream cut arrived downstream in 48 hours: parity is now a pricing term. · https://azure.microsoft.com/en-us/blog/gpt-5-6-now-available-in-microsoft-foundry/
DeepSeek · Aug 16, 2026 · Pricing · Rate increase · The raise landed August 16, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, exactly as the August 13 release note scheduled it. · https://api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing/
Google · Aug 16, 2026 · Pricing · Rate cut · Google shipped a price with a return date. · https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing
DeepSeek · Aug 23, 2026 · Pricing · Unit swap · Two footnotes changed in one update, moving in opposite directions. · https://api-docs.deepseek.com/quick_start/pricing/
Anthropic · Sep 01, 2026 · Pricing · Rate cut · Claude Fable 5.1 shipped with headline token rates unchanged from Fable 5 and a deep cut on cache reads, the token class that repeats across a workload. · https://www.anthropic.com/claude-fable-and-mythos-5-1
The AI Pricing Observatory · Software Pricing Partners · softwarepricing.com/pricing-observatory/ · every move dated, cited, archived.

03 · The moves that only look like pricing

Two pricing announcements that live on the licensing page.

Two of the most common pricing announcements on the record are filed under licensing, and the filing is the teaching. A credit introduction is announced as a new way to pay; the decision underneath is a new unit of access. Cost-plus pass-through is announced as a formula; the core is the adoption of the supplier’s unit as your own value metric.

In both, the vendor announces the pricing surface while making a licensing decision, and the surface is the part that cannot hold on its own at renewal. If either of these is the move on your desk, read the licensing sections first, and if the rate on top is the part you are unsure of, talk to a pricing expert: the surface and the core price differently, and the difference is the work.

04 · The full record

The record is the market’s. The decision is yours.

Three layers, one architecture: the moves on these pages are what other software companies did, verified and dated, each read by a practitioner. What your company should do with the same situation depends on your own licensing, packaging, and pricing, which is where the work leaves the page. Start from the licensing layer, or go back to the full ledger.